MTC Market Insights

October 1, 2026

Selective Optimism

Key Takeaways

  • Market gains remain narrow, concentrated in large-cap technology, while weak long-duration Treasury returns signal expectations for higher-for-longer rates rather than recession.

  • Household demand continues, but inflation outpacing wage growth and rising reliance on high-cost revolving credit leave consumers expansionary in nominal terms and strained in real terms.

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